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Success rate
77.0%
3000 simulated paths
Median end value
$857K
After 30 years
10th percentile
$0
Bad-luck outcome
90th percentile
$4.48M
Good-luck outcome
Plan
$
$
Market
After inflation
%
60/40 ≈ 12%. 100% equities ≈ 18%.
%
3,000 is a good balance of accuracy and speed
Fat tails (Student-t)
More realistic than normal distribution